There is little reason to expect that last-minute deals will buoy the low sales activity in the multifamily market in 2023, but investors should look for opportunities to emerge in 2024 as these persistent challenges change the calculation for property owners unable to “survive until 2025.”

With forecasts of greater supply and continued pressure from high interest rates, predictions that we are in the early moments of CRE valuation adjustment are gaining prominence, but expanded interest in non-bank lending is helping multifamily borrowers looking to resolve challenges related to increased borrowing costs.

Stock markets rallied after this week’s CPI print showed lower inflation, but the path to lower interest rates may not be as quick or straightforward as some would hope. With continued low CRE property sales and a narrow cap rate-interest rate spread, investors looking for investment opportunities are turning to non-bank lending, preferred equity, and…

New data showing that multifamily loan originations are down 50% from last year (and down by 40% compared to pre-pandemic 2019 numbers) joins a growing discussion about the changing state of multifamily lending, and a recent report suggests that rent growth patterns are stabilizing and trending toward historical norms.

For CRE investors waiting to buy (or sell) properties, a rate hike pause may not be enough to encourage their re-entry into the market as investors expect further cap rate expansion in 2024. For multifamily specifically, confidence in longer-term asset performance has led to greater investor interest compared to other CRE sectors, but overall investment…