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As we move further from the uncertainty and rent growth stagnation of 2023, an increasing number of sources are finding room for optimism in the multifamily investment market. A looming drop-off in multifamily supply, the consequence of an interest-rate-driven decline in new construction projects, has become a central part of projections for the multifamily market,…

This month’s inflation report came in slightly higher than expected, causing some worry that the much-anticipated interest rate cuts from the Fed may not arrive as quickly as previously thought. A “higher for longer” environment is one reason why some are pessimistic about multifamily in 2024, but there is little evidence for continued declines in…

Compared to the prevailing uncertainties of 2023, a better view of the multifamily market and its driving forces points to increased investment activity as the year progresses. Significant challenges remain for apartment operators in 2024, but greater clarity on apartment construction, interest rates, housing demand, and the economy, alongside pent-up demand from investors who were…

The enormous amount of apartment supply expected this year should temper any expectations of apartment demand, but ⁠newly-published⁠ ⁠research⁠ on the topic argues that U.S. housing needs are far larger than can be addressed even with the historic amount of multifamily completions last year and forecasted for this year. On the capital markets side, ⁠recent data⁠ points to a substantial…

While recent migration and employment data highlights the continued growth of the Sunbelt, the massive amount of newly-built apartments in Sunbelt markets far outweigh the effects of demand drivers like population or job growth. Given this dynamic, investors may find higher-performing assets in multifamily markets in the Midwest and Northeast that have not seen as…

Markets in the Northeast and the Sun Belt continue to get attention, along with mountain locales like Idaho and Montana, but affordability is a significant draw for Midwestern markets like Cincinnati and Indianapolis.

Recent reporting on commercial real estate financing has highlighted the role of private credit in providing funding for CRE sponsors/owners and delaying the need for a capital call, and despite the expectation of interest rate reductions later in the year, it is clear that private credit will remain an important tool in 2024. Newly-published reports…

While the continued surge in newly-constructed apartments is relatively unchanged from 2023, the outlook for 2024 interest rates is less clear. The longer-term prospects for the multifamily market remain strong, but given the continued pressure from apartment supply, investors who speculate on lower interest rates and future asset valuation increases could be vulnerable to short-term…

Recent forecasts and expectations for the 2024 CRE and multifamily markets are not very much different than the discussions heading into 2023: Economic uncertainty, expense burdens, high interest rates, and historic amounts of new apartment supply will be major factors for multifamily asset performance next year the same as they were this year, but interest…

The Gray Capital team shares their predictions for the multifamily market and the economy in 2024, comparing them to other forecasts that have recently been published.